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06 2024.09
Keywise Market Comment (Aug 2024)
Onshore Market:We notice that China economy continued declining on a month-to-month basis, 1) Consumption and investment remained deteriorating 2) M1 shrank largely 3) PMI maintained under 50%. All these indicated a deficient demand and deflationary pressure for China economy. We expect government will introduce polices to simulate demand, however, which remains uncertain.Offshore Market:US economic growth is slowing. We expect more volatility in US market because of the high valuation and mark… -
05 2024.08
Keywise Market Comment (Jul 2024)
In July, China market continued to show a downward trend. Although the economy as a whole was moving towards recovery, most industries experienced a decline compared to the previous month, only exports and certain manufacturing sectors performing better than expected. In July, The Third Plenum of the 20th CCP Central Committee concluded and largely in line with market expectation. the Party leadership required implementations to enhance the fiscal capacity of local governments, stabilize the dom -
16 2024.07
Keywise Market Comment (Jun 2024)
AI industry sector continued outperforming with US strong economic and market liquidity. While China market was sluggish. Property sales, consumer and investment were all below market expectation, despite exports remained strong. Also, we noticed that fiscal and monetary policies support to the economy was lower than expected. Dividend strategy continued to outperform the market as a defense-oriented strategy.Our investment strategy focuses on these aspects: Firstly, we think small-and-mid-cap s -
03 2024.06
Keywise Market Comment (May 2024)
At the economic level, the overall weak recovery trend continues. Export and manufacturing investment performed stronger than property sector. Consumption is relatively stable. In terms of policy, we expect the upcoming third Plenum of the Central Committee will introduce major reform measures. The policy will focus on reshaping the relations of production and strive to establish a new type of production relations that can adapt to the development of new quality productive forces. We will pay cl -
03 2024.05
Keywise Market Comment (April 2024)
In April, Most US tech companies’ earnings came in line with or miss market expectations, US market fluctuated together with the above-trend inflation, but we still believe in the trend of AI. While in China market we noticed better than expectations earning results in several industry, e.g. export, Internet, and new energy vehicle. Though tech firms’ results were below expectation. April also witnessed a notable rebound in Hong Kong market. We expect the rally will continue as there are severa… -
03 2024.04
Keywise Market Comment (March 2024)
For global market, we noticed global PMI index reached 50.3%, indicating that the US and world economy is still expanding. Prices of copper and other non-ferrous metal keep rising.We expect copper to make further highs over the coming quarters, due to the accelerated investment in grid system and manufacturing. Considering the strong economic and employment Indicators, we forecast federal reserve’s timing for monetary easing will be delayed.For domestic market, exports and high-end manufacturing -
05 2024.03
Keywise Market Comment (February 2024)
For global market,both the earning and guidance of Nvidia beat the market consensus,reflecting the continuous increase in procurement of AI services by major U.S. internet giants. Companies are striving to enhance their capabilities in large-scale models within their domains. We expected a sustainable global demand for AI computing power in the future. For Domestic market,the national market support funds began massive purchases of ETFs in February to impede liquidity crisis, which also result… -
05 2024.02
Keywise Market Comment (January 2024)
Market continued going through a headwind in January. Primary reason including extremely low market confidence and liquidation risk. The subsequent liquidity risk mainly arises from that highly leveraged financial products with excessive risk exposure are gradually being liquidated. In addition to stocks of state-owned enterprises, the large technology sector, which is heavily held in the market, has seen more declines.For domestic economy, we noticed signs of a weak recovery based on various in